name

ict-mnq-trading

description

ICT-based MNQ futures trading analysis system for MFFU prop firm evaluation. Use when user provides market data (PDH, PDL, FVG levels, liquidity sweeps) and asks for trade analysis, entry/exit points, or bias confirmation. Triggers on keywords like "trade setup", "NQ analysis", "entry", "SL", "TP", "bias", "liquidity sweep", "FVG", "order block", "ICT", "MMXM", "MMBM", "MMSM", "market maker model", "smart money reversal", "SMR".

ICT MNQ Trading System for MFFU Evaluation

Account Parameters (FIXED)

Parameter	Value
Account Size	$50,000
Daily Loss Limit	$2,500
Contracts	5 MNQ
Point Value	$2/point per contract ($10 total)
Max SL per trade	25 points ($250)
Target per trade	30-50 points ($300-$500)
Max trades per day	3-4 (to preserve daily limit)
Profit target for eval	$3,000

Risk Rules (NEVER VIOLATE)

Max risk per trade: 25 points ($250) - leaves room for 10 max losing trades before daily limit
If down $1,500 in a day: STOP TRADING - reassess next session
No revenge trading: Wait minimum 30 minutes after a loss
No trading during high-impact news: Within 15 min before/after

Analysis Workflow

When user provides setup data, follow this exact sequence:

Step 0: Check for MMXM Structure

Read references/mmxm-models.md for Market Maker Model framework.

MMXM provides highest probability setups when all 5 phases are visible:

Original Consolidation
Engineering Liquidity (price run)
Smart Money Reversal (entry zone)
Accumulation/Distribution
Completion (target)

If MMXM structure is clear, prioritize it over standard setups.

Step 1: Determine HTF Bias

Read references/bias-determination.md for detailed rules.

Quick check:

Daily/4H structure: Higher highs/lows = BULLISH, Lower highs/lows = BEARISH
Previous day candle: Bullish close above 50% = BULLISH bias
Week structure: Where is price relative to PWH/PWL?

Step 2: Identify Session Context

Read references/session-times.md for kill zone windows.

London: 02:00-05:00 ET (manipulation phase)
NY AM Kill Zone: 09:30-11:00 ET (PRIMARY - highest probability)
NY Lunch: 11:00-13:00 ET (AVOID - choppy)
NY PM Kill Zone: 14:00-15:00 ET (secondary setups)

Step 3: Check for Valid Setup

Read references/ict-setups.md for detailed setup criteria. Read references/mmxm-models.md for MMXM framework.

Valid setups (in order of priority):

MMXM (Market Maker Model): Full 5-phase structure with SMR entry - HIGHEST PROBABILITY
Liquidity Sweep + FVG: Price takes liquidity, leaves FVG, entry on 50% of gap
Order Block + MSS: Market structure shift into valid OB
Silver Bullet: 10:00-11:00 or 14:00-15:00 FVG entries
OTE: 62-79% fib retracement in discount/premium

Step 4: Calculate Entry, SL, TP

For MMXM MMBM (Long) setups:

Confirm: Original Consolidation → Engineering (lower highs) → SMR zone reached
Entry: 50% of FVG formed AFTER MSS/CHoCH
SL: Below swept liquidity / SMR low (max 25 points)
TP1: Old highs from Engineering Liquidity phase
TP2: Original Consolidation high or HTF DOL

For MMXM MMSM (Short) setups:

Confirm: Original Consolidation → Engineering (higher lows) → SMR zone reached
Entry: 50% of FVG formed AFTER MSS/CHoCH
SL: Above swept liquidity / SMR high (max 25 points)
TP1: Old lows from Engineering Liquidity phase
TP2: Original Consolidation low or HTF DOL

For standard LONG setups:

Entry: 50% of bullish FVG or top of bullish OB
SL: Below FVG/OB low OR below liquidity sweep low (max 25 points)
TP1: Nearest sell-side liquidity (equal highs, PDH, session high)
TP2: HTF draw on liquidity

For standard SHORT setups:

Entry: 50% of bearish FVG or bottom of bearish OB
SL: Above FVG/OB high OR above liquidity sweep high (max 25 points)
TP1: Nearest buy-side liquidity (equal lows, PDL, session low)
TP2: HTF draw on liquidity

Step 5: Provide Verdict

Always respond in this exact format:

═══════════════════════════════════════════
TRADE ANALYSIS
═══════════════════════════════════════════
VERDICT:     [LONG / SHORT / NO TRADE]
CONFIDENCE:  [HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
BIAS:        [Bullish / Bearish / Neutral]
BIAS REASON: [1-2 sentences]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
SETUP TYPE:  [MMXM MMBM / MMXM MMSM / Liquidity Sweep + FVG / OB + MSS / Silver Bullet / OTE / None]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
ENTRY:       [price]
SL:          [price] ([X] points / $[X] risk)
TP1:         [price] ([X] points / $[X] profit) - [target description]
TP2:         [price] ([X] points / $[X] profit) - [target description]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
R:R RATIO:   [X:1]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
REASONING:
[2-3 bullet points explaining the ICT logic]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
WARNINGS:
[Any concerns, news events, or reasons for caution]
═══════════════════════════════════════════

NO TRADE Conditions

Issue "NO TRADE" verdict when:

No clear HTF bias (consolidation)
No valid ICT setup present
R:R less than 1.5:1
SL would exceed 25 points
Within NY Lunch (11:00-13:00 ET)
High-impact news within 15 minutes
Already at 3+ trades for the day
Down $1,500+ for the day

Input Template

User should provide data in this format:

SESSION: [London / NY AM / NY PM]
TIME: [current time ET]
CURRENT PRICE: [price]
HTF BIAS: [Bullish / Bearish / Neutral] + reason
PDH: [price]
PDL: [price]
PWH: [price]
PWL: [price]
ASIA HIGH: [price]
ASIA LOW: [price]
LIQUIDITY TAKEN: [describe any sweeps]
FVG LEVELS: [list with prices]
OB LEVELS: [list with prices]
NEWS TODAY: [any high impact events + times]
DAILY P&L: [$X]
TRADES TODAY: [X]
SETUP DESCRIPTION: [what you see]

MMXM CONTEXT (optional but increases accuracy):
ORIGINAL CONSOLIDATION: [price range if visible]
ENGINEERING PHASE: [describe - lower highs for MMBM / higher lows for MMSM]
CURRENT MMXM PHASE: [1-Consolidation / 2-Engineering / 3-SMR / 4-Accumulation / 5-Completion]
SMT DIVERGENCE: [Yes/No - comparing NQ to ES or YM]
MSS/CHoCH CONFIRMED: [Yes/No + price level]