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Structured reasoning tools for complex problem analysis with observation, hypothesis, analysis, and conclusion steps. Use when analyzing complex problems, debugging difficult issues, or making important decisions.

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SKILL.md

name sequential-thinking
description Structured reasoning tools for complex problem analysis with observation, hypothesis, analysis, and conclusion steps. Use when analyzing complex problems, debugging difficult issues, or making important decisions.
allowed-tools Read, Write
mcp_tools think_step, think_branch, think_summarize

Sequential Thinking Skill

Version: 1.0.0 Purpose: Structured reasoning for complex problem analysis


Triggers

Trigger Examples
Analyze "analyze problem", "think through", "問題分析"
Debug "debug this", "investigate issue", "調査"
Decide "help me decide", "evaluate options", "判断支援"
Reason "reason about", "think step by step", "段階的に考える"

Integrated MCP Tools

Tool Purpose
think_step Record a reasoning step
think_branch Create alternative thinking branch
think_summarize Summarize thinking session

Step Types

Type Purpose Example
observation Gather facts "The error occurs at startup"
hypothesis Form theory "Configuration may be incorrect"
analysis Evaluate "Testing hypothesis against logs"
conclusion Final result "Root cause identified as X"
question Open question "What is the expected behavior?"

Workflow: Problem Analysis

Phase 1: Observation

Step 1.1: Gather Facts

Use think_step with:
- thought: "Observed: [specific observation]"
- type: "observation"
- confidence: 0.9 (high certainty)

Step 1.2: Document Context

Multiple think_step calls for each fact:
- System state
- Error messages
- Recent changes
- User reports

Phase 2: Hypothesis Formation

Step 2.1: Form Hypotheses

Use think_step with:
- thought: "Hypothesis: [potential cause]"
- type: "hypothesis"
- confidence: 0.5 (initial guess)

Step 2.2: Alternative Hypotheses

Use think_branch to explore:
- Different root causes
- Alternative explanations
- Edge cases

Phase 3: Analysis

Step 3.1: Test Hypotheses

Use think_step with:
- thought: "Testing: [method and result]"
- type: "analysis"
- confidence: [adjusted based on evidence]

Step 3.2: Eliminate Options

Use analysis steps to:
- Confirm or refute each hypothesis
- Document evidence
- Adjust confidence levels

Phase 4: Conclusion

Step 4.1: Draw Conclusions

Use think_step with:
- thought: "Conclusion: [final determination]"
- type: "conclusion"
- confidence: 0.9 (based on evidence)

Step 4.2: Summarize Session

Use think_summarize with:
- sessionId: Current session
- includeAlternatives: true

Branching Strategy

When to Branch

  • Multiple valid hypotheses
  • Need to explore alternatives
  • Complex decision with trade-offs

Branch Usage

Use think_branch with:
- sessionId: Current session
- branchName: "alternative-approach"
- fromStep: Step number to branch from

Confidence Levels

Level Value Meaning
Certain 0.9-1.0 Strong evidence, verified
Likely 0.7-0.9 Good evidence, probable
Possible 0.5-0.7 Some evidence, uncertain
Unlikely 0.3-0.5 Weak evidence
Doubtful 0.0-0.3 Little to no evidence

Example Session

1. [observation] Error: "Connection refused" on port 5432
2. [observation] PostgreSQL service status: stopped
3. [hypothesis] Database service crashed
4. [hypothesis] Port conflict with another service
5. [analysis] Checking service logs... no crash, clean shutdown
6. [analysis] Checking port usage... no conflict
7. [conclusion] Service was manually stopped, needs restart

Best Practices

✅ GOOD:

  • Start with observations
  • Form multiple hypotheses
  • Document evidence for/against
  • Update confidence as you learn

❌ BAD:

  • Jump to conclusions
  • Ignore contradicting evidence
  • Single hypothesis bias
  • Skip documentation

Checklist

  • Problem clearly stated
  • Facts gathered (observations)
  • Multiple hypotheses formed
  • Evidence documented
  • Alternatives explored (branches)
  • Conclusion supported by evidence