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Plan infrastructure capacity for expected load. Use when sizing systems, planning for growth, or analyzing resource requirements. Covers load estimation and resource sizing.

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SKILL.md

name capacity-planning
description Plan infrastructure capacity for expected load. Use when sizing systems, planning for growth, or analyzing resource requirements. Covers load estimation and resource sizing.
allowed-tools Read, Bash, Glob, Grep

Capacity Planning

Workflows

  • Baseline: Measure current resource usage
  • Forecast: Project future growth
  • Size: Calculate required resources
  • Buffer: Add headroom for spikes
  • Monitor: Track actual vs. predicted

Key Metrics

Compute

  • CPU utilization (target: 60-70%)
  • Memory usage
  • Request latency (P50, P95, P99)

Storage

  • Disk IOPS
  • Throughput (MB/s)
  • Capacity growth rate

Network

  • Bandwidth utilization
  • Connection counts
  • Packet loss

Estimation Framework

Little's Law

L = λ × W

L = Average number of items in system
λ = Average arrival rate
W = Average time in system

Example Calculation

Given:
- 1000 requests/second
- 100ms average response time

Required concurrent connections:
L = 1000 × 0.1 = 100 concurrent connections

Resource Sizing

Database Connections

connections = (requests_per_second × avg_query_time) × 1.5

Memory

memory = (concurrent_users × memory_per_user) + base_overhead

CPU Cores

cores = (peak_rps × cpu_time_per_request) / target_utilization

Growth Planning

Traffic Growth

  • Historical growth rate
  • Planned marketing/launches
  • Seasonal patterns

Data Growth

  • Records per day
  • Record size
  • Retention policy

Capacity Planning Document

  1. Current state metrics
  2. Growth assumptions
  3. Resource projections (3, 6, 12 months)
  4. Cost estimates
  5. Scaling triggers and thresholds